The Phillips Phase refers to a concept in economics that illustrates the relationship between unemployment and inflation, originally formulated by economist A.W. Phillips in 1958. Phillips observed an inverse relationship, suggesting that lower unemployment rates correlate with higher inflation rates. This relationship is often depicted using the Phillips Curve, which can be expressed mathematically as , where is the rate of inflation, is the expected inflation, is the unemployment rate, is the natural rate of unemployment, and is a positive constant. Over time, however, economists have noted that this relationship may not hold in the long run, particularly during periods of stagflation, where high inflation and high unemployment occur simultaneously. Thus, the Phillips Phase highlights the complexities of economic policy and the need for careful consideration of the trade-offs between inflation and unemployment.
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