The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is a financial model that establishes a relationship between the expected return of an asset and its risk, measured by beta (β). Beta quantifies an asset's sensitivity to market movements; a beta of 1 indicates that the asset moves with the market, while a beta greater than 1 suggests greater volatility, and a beta less than 1 indicates lower volatility. To estimate beta, analysts often use historical price data to perform a regression analysis, typically comparing the returns of the asset against the returns of a benchmark index, such as the S&P 500.
The formula for estimating beta can be expressed as:
where is the return of the asset, is the return of the market, Cov is the covariance, and Var is the variance. This calculation provides insights into how much risk an investor is taking by holding a particular asset compared to the overall market, thus helping in making informed investment decisions.
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