Hotelling’s Rule is a principle in resource economics that describes how the price of a non-renewable resource, such as oil or minerals, changes over time. According to this rule, the price of the resource should increase at a rate equal to the interest rate over time. This is based on the idea that resource owners will maximize the value of their resource by extracting it more slowly, allowing the price to rise in the future. In mathematical terms, if is the price at time and is the interest rate, then Hotelling’s Rule posits that:
This means that the growth rate of the price of the resource is proportional to its current price. Thus, the rule provides a framework for understanding the interplay between resource depletion, market dynamics, and economic incentives.
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