The Keynesian Beauty Contest is an economic concept introduced by the British economist John Maynard Keynes to illustrate how expectations influence market behavior. In this analogy, participants in a beauty contest must choose the most attractive contestants, not based on their personal preferences, but rather on what they believe others will consider attractive. This leads to a situation where individuals focus on predicting the choices of others, rather than their own beliefs about beauty.
In financial markets, this behavior manifests as investors making decisions based on their expectations of how others will react, rather than on fundamental values. As a result, asset prices can become disconnected from their intrinsic values, leading to volatility and bubbles. The contest highlights the importance of collective psychology in economics, emphasizing that market dynamics are heavily influenced by perceptions and expectations.
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