Rational bubbles refer to a phenomenon in financial markets where asset prices significantly exceed their intrinsic value, driven by investor expectations of future price increases rather than fundamental factors. These bubbles occur when investors believe that they can sell the asset at an even higher price to someone else, a concept encapsulated in the phrase "greater fool theory." Unlike irrational bubbles, where emotions and psychological factors dominate, rational bubbles are based on a logical expectation of continued price growth, despite the disconnect from underlying values.
Key characteristics of rational bubbles include:
Mathematically, these dynamics can be represented through models that incorporate expectations, such as the present value of future cash flows, adjusted for speculative behavior.
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